Match the risk to the method. For demand uncertainty, try smoke tests with pre-orders. For usability risk, run clickable prototypes. For service feasibility, operate concierge or manual backends. Each choice should minimize complexity while maximizing the credibility of behavioral evidence gathered.
Decide what event means progress and log it consistently. Track exposures, clicks, replies, time-on-task, drop-offs, and willingness-to-pay signals. Use unique links and lightweight analytics to reduce noise. Data quality determines confidence, so plan collection before building visual polish or fancy flows.
Explain the purpose, data use, and expected follow-up to participants. Avoid dark patterns, hidden charges, or misleading claims. Honest experiments improve trust, referrals, and future research access. Your reputation is an asset; treat it as carefully as your codebase and runway.
Precommit to acceptance criteria before seeing data, such as conversion above a realistic baseline or retention beyond a minimum window. This guards against cherry-picking and forces trade-offs. When thresholds are unmet, capture learning and decide whether to persevere, pivot, or pause.
Pageviews feel good but rarely guide action. Focus on activated actions, completed jobs, qualified leads, or willingness-to-pay. Tie each metric to a decision. If the number cannot alter your roadmap, replace it with an indicator directly connected to behavior change.
In early loops, precision is limited, yet effect sizes can be dramatic. Use guardrail metrics and directional thresholds rather than strict p-values. Seek consistency across methods: interviews, funnels, and retention. Convergence builds confidence faster than large, slow, and expensive experiments.